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Gold Cup Forecaster: Group, title projections

Gold Cup
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Gold Cup Forecaster: Which teams are most likely to advance, win title?

ESPN FC's Paul Mariner predicts United States to win the Gold Cup, especially with some injuries some rivals have to deal with.

The 2015 Gold Cup begins on Tuesday, with the CONCACAF title on the line for 12 countries, plus a trip to the 2017 Confederations Cup at stake.

If the United States wins their second straight Gold Cup, the U.S. would qualify directly for the Confed Cup in Russia. But if a different country wins, then a playoff will be held later this year to determine CONCACAF's representative.

The 12-team tournament features three groups of four teams. After round-robin group play, the top two teams advance to the quarterfinals, as do the two best third-place teams.

Because of the forgiving format, the top three CONCACAF teams aren't likely to have difficulty reaching the knockout stage. The United States, Costa Rica and Mexico were seeded atop the groups, and each is heavily favored to win their group. However, the title race projects to be much closer. 

Here's our Soccer Power Index-simulated forecast of every team's group and title finish odds, including team-by-team analysis. (SPI's team rankings and the ratings on which they are based stem from a regression-based algorithm designed to predict soccer matches.)

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ESPN FC  By ESPN staff

Sergio Aguero, Angel Di Maria combine to score five goals in Argentina's win

Ahead of their Copa America campaign, Argentina's Ezequiel Garay says the squad are still hurting following their FIFA World Cup final defeat to Germany last year.
Sergio Aguero, left, and Angel Di Maria teamed up to help Argentina trounce Bolivia.

Sergio Aguero scored a hat trick and Angel Di Maria added a brace as Argentina dominated Bolivia 5-0 in a friendly as both teams tuned up for the Copa America.

Even without their biggest star Lionel Messi, who won the Champions League with Barcelona on Saturday, Argentina ran over Bolivia from start to finish.

The Albiceleste settled the match in a burst with three goals in five minutes in the first half. Di Maria opened the scoring in the 25th minute, Aguero added his first from the penalty...

Favourites Argentina exit in group stage after goalless draw with Austria

Argentina players are downcast after the costly draw with Austria.

Under-20 World Cup favourites Argentina were eliminated in the group stage after they were held to a goalless draw by Austria on Friday.

Argentina have only two points from their three matches and finished third in Group B, with their other two games ending in defeat to Ghana and a draw with Panama.

Argentina entered Friday's match knowing they would likely have to win to preserve their chance of winning the under-20 title for the seventh time. They pressed Austria relentlessly, securing 71 percent...

ESPN FC  By ESPN staff

U.S. advance to knockout phase of Under-20 World Cup with win

The U.S. secured their spot in the group stage with a comprehensive victory over New Zealand on Tuesday.

The United States beat hosts New Zealand 4-0 to become the first team to secure a place in the knockout rounds of the Under-20 World Cup, while Ghana shocked South American champions Argentina on Tuesday.

After beating Myanmar 2-1 in their opening match on Saturday, the United States moved atop Group A to become the first of 24 teams to seal a place in the round of 16.

The U.S. overcame wet and cold conditions to beat New Zealand with a double by Rubio Rubin and goals from Emerson Hyndman and...

U.S. open U20 World Cup with win; Angel Correa stars in Argentina draw

Angel Correa scored twice but Argentina were held to a draw by Panama on Saturday.

WELLINGTON, New Zealand -- The United States won their first match at the Under-20 World Cup since 2009, rallying to beat Myanmar 2-1 on Saturday on goals by Maki Tall and Emerson Hyndman.

Making their debut in the tournament, Myanmar went ahead in the ninth minute at Whangarei when American goalkeeper Zack Steffen failed to control a corner kick, and Yank Naing Oo tapped in the ball at the near post.

The U.S. evened the score in the 17th minute when Tottenham's Cameron Carter-Vickers redirected...