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Gold Cup Forecaster: Which teams are most likely to advance, win title?

Are Michael Bradley and the U.S. or Hector Herrera and Mexico the Gold Cup favorites?
Are Michael Bradley and the U.S. or Hector Herrera and Mexico the Gold Cup favorites?

The 2015 Gold Cup begins on Tuesday, with the CONCACAF title on the line for 12 countries, plus a trip to the 2017 Confederations Cup at stake.

If the United States wins their second straight Gold Cup, the U.S. would qualify directly for the Confed Cup in Russia. But if a different country wins, then a playoff will be held later this year to determine CONCACAF's representative.

The 12-team tournament features three groups of four teams. After round-robin group play, the top two teams advance to the quarterfinals, as do the two best third-place teams.

Because of the forgiving format, the top three CONCACAF teams aren't likely to have difficulty reaching the knockout stage. The United States, Costa Rica and Mexico were seeded atop the groups, and each is heavily favored to win their group. However, the title race projects to be much closer. 

Here's our Soccer Power Index-simulated forecast of every team's group and title finish odds, including team-by-team analysis. (SPI's team rankings and the ratings on which they are based stem from a regression-based algorithm designed to predict soccer matches.)

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Javier Hernandez injury hits Man United transfer opportunities

ESPN FC's Tom Marshall and John Sutcliffe analyse the injury to Mexico striker Javier Hernandez and its impact on the Mexican national team plus Giovani dos Santos' possible MLS future.
ESPN FC's Alejandro Moreno assesses Mexico's 0-0 draw with Honduras and the injury of Mexico striker Javier Hernandez.

Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez is looking likelier to stay at Manchester United after he was ruled out for up to four weeks with a broken collarbone.

The striker was injured playing for Mexico against Honduras and is now set to sit out his country's Gold Cup campaign.

He was already projected to sit out United's preseason tour of the United States because of his international commitments.

But now Hernandez will have less time to prove his fitness before the end of the summer transfer window and potentially...

Giovani Dos Santos move to Galaxy wouldn't affect Mexico - Herrera

With Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez's recent injury against Honduras, the ESPN FC panel debate whether or not Mexico even need him at the Gold Cup.

HOUSTON -- U.S. national team coach Jurgen Klinsmann may not like his players moving to MLS from European leagues, but Mexico's Miguel Herrera would not have a problem if Giovani Dos Santos signs for L.A. Galaxy.

Multiple reports have come out in recent days stating interest from Galaxy in Villarreal's Dos Santos and Herrera does not believe that the striker's position with the national team would be weakened if he does complete a move.

"There's no reason it would affect anything," Herrera said...

ESPN FC  By ESPN staff

Chicharito injures collarbone vs. Honduras, will miss Gold Cup

Mexico's Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez broke his collarbone in a friendly against Honduras.

HOUSTON -- Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez will miss Mexico's Gold Cup campaign after sustaining an injury during the first half of Wednesday's friendly versus Honduras.

The 27-year-old striker suffered a fractured collarbone and was taken to hospital on Wednesday night for further evaluation. He will be out four weeks, according to miseleccion.mx.

"The fracture of the right collarbone has been confirmed clinically," said Mexico team doctor Gerardo Aguilar after the game.

"He's being re-evaluated in...