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Gold Cup Forecaster: Group, title projections

Gold Cup
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ESPN FC  By ESPN staff

Canada eliminated from Pan Am Games with Brazil-Panama draw

Brazil and Panama are moving on after Monday's 3-3 draw.

A 3-3 draw between Brazil and Panama eliminated Canada from the medal round before ever getting a chance to play their final Group A game on Monday.

Brazil, who had already qualified for the knockout stage, advanced as group leader while the Panamanians earn the second seed after finishing with five points.

Canada, who would ultimately lose 2-0 to Peru in the late game, needed a sizable Brazilian victory to have a chance to move on, but it wasn't to be.

Brazil scored the first three goals and led...

Costa Rica draw with Canada to earn spot in Gold Cup quarterfinals

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Giancarlo Gonzalez of Costa Rica sees his header go wide in the first half vs. Canada.

TORONTO -- Esteban made two saves and anchored a stingy defense as Costa Rica tied Canada 0-0 on a rainy Tuesday night to advance to the quarterfinals of the CONCACAF Gold Cup.

Costa Rica, the second-place team in Group B with three straight draws, has qualified for the knockout round of the Gold Cup in its last nine appearances.

Esteban bobbled a free kick in the 81st minute. Canada's Andre Hainault won the loose ball in front of the net and redirected it toward goal, but Bryan Ruiz made...

ESPN FC  By ESPN staff

Brazil and Panama open Pan Am Games with victories

Romulo Pacheco celebrates after scoring Brazil's second goal on Sunday night.

Brazil and Panama opened the Pan Am Games' men's football competition with group stage wins on Sunday night.

Brazil cruised by hosts Canada 4-1. Luciano Da Rocha scored four minutes into the match to put Brazil on their way, before Romulo Pacheco doubled the advantage in the 38th minute.

Canada had chances on the counter-attacke, but it was Brazil who scored just after the break, Clayton Da Silveira lobbing the keeper to increase the lead to 3-0.

Molham Babouli scored a consolation goal for Canada...

Rodolph Austin's stoppage-time winner carries Jamaica past Canada

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Rodolph Austin provided the only goal for Jamaica in the 92nd minute.

HOUSTON -- Rodolph Austin scored two minutes into stoppage time to lift Jamaica over Canada 1-0 in a CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage match on Saturday.

Jamaica improved to four points from their first two games, while Canada was again held without a goal and remains on one point..

The sequence that led to the winning goal began when Jamaica played the ball out to the right wing, and Adrian Mariappa then sent it into the center of the box. Austin shook off his defender and headed it clean past...

Gold Cup Forecaster: Which teams are most likely to advance, win title?

Are Michael Bradley and the U.S. or Hector Herrera and Mexico the Gold Cup favorites?
Are Michael Bradley and the U.S. or Hector Herrera and Mexico the Gold Cup favorites?

The 2015 Gold Cup begins on Tuesday, with the CONCACAF title on the line for 12 countries, plus a trip to the 2017 Confederations Cup at stake.

If the United States wins their second straight Gold Cup, the U.S. would qualify directly for the Confed Cup in Russia. But if a different country wins, then a playoff will be held later this year to determine CONCACAF's representative.

The 12-team tournament features three groups of four teams. After round-robin group play, the top two teams advance to the quarterfinals, as do the two best third-place teams.

Because of the forgiving format, the top three CONCACAF teams aren't likely to have difficulty reaching the knockout stage. The United States, Costa Rica and Mexico were seeded atop the groups, and each is heavily favored to win their group. However, the title race projects to be much closer. 

Here's our Soccer Power Index-simulated forecast of every team's group and title finish odds, including team-by-team analysis. (SPI's team rankings and the ratings on which they are based stem from a regression-based algorithm designed to predict soccer matches.)

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