World Cup group permutations: Who can qualify for the Round of 16?
The third round of games in the World Cup group stage is underway. View the latest standings here and, below, find out what each nation has to do to qualify for the knockout stage ahead of the final round of matches.
Already qualified: Russia, Uruguay, France, Croatia, Belgium, England, Spain, Portugal, Denmark, Argentina, Sweden, Mexico, Brazil, Switzerland
Already eliminated: Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Morocco, Peru, Costa Rica, Tunisia, Panama, Poland, Iran, Australia, Nigeria, Iceland, South Korea, Germany, Serbia
If two or more teams are level on points, they are separated using this tiebreaker system
1. Goal difference
2. Goals scored
3. Head-to-head points
4. Head-to-head goal difference
5. Head-to-head goals scored
6. Fair play points
7. Drawing of lots
FAIR PLAY SCORING SYSTEM
Yellow card: -1
Red card for two cautions: -3
Straight red card: -4
Yellow card and straight red card: -5
Uruguay vs. Portugal (Sochi; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
France vs. Argentina (Kazan; 10 a.m. ET / 2 p.m. GMT)
Spain vs. Russia (Moscow Luzhniki; 10 a.m. ET / 2 p.m. GMT)
Croatia vs. Denmark (Nizhny Novgorod; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
Brazil vs. Mexico (Samara; 10 a.m. ET / 2 p.m. GMT)
Match 54: Winner Group G vs. Runner-up Group H (Rostov-on-Don; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
Sweden vs. Switzerland (St. Petersburg; 10 a.m. ET / 2 p.m. GMT)
Match 56: Winner Group H vs. Runner-up Group G (Moscow Spartak; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
- England are through and are only guaranteed to top the group if they beat Belgium.
- Belgium are through and are only guaranteed to top the group if they beat England.
- England (2 yellows) currently lead Belgium (3 yellows) on fair play. If they draw the final group game, first and second will be decided on this. If fair play also finishes level, the teams will draw lots for positions.
- Panama and Tunisia have been eliminated
- Japan need at least a point against Poland to guarantee qualification, and will be through with a defeat if Colombia lose too. They will definitely top the group if they win and Senegal do not.
- Senegal need a point against Colombia to qualify, and can only qualify with a defeat if Japan lose too. They will top the group if they better Japan's result.
- Colombia must beat Senegal to guarantee going through. They will also qualify with a draw if Japan lose to Poland. They will top the group if they win and Japan do not.
- If both Japan and Senegal draw, both will be through and the team in the highest-scoring draw finishing top. If both draws are the same score, top spot will be decided first by Fair Play and then drawing of lots.
- If both Japan and Senegal win, both will be through and the team that wins by the biggest margin, or is in the highest-scoring win of the same margin, will finish top. If both wins are the same score, top spot will be decided first by Fair Play and then drawing of lots.
- If both Japan and Senegal lose then Colombia win the group. Second place will go to the team that loses by the smallest margin, or is in the highest-scoring defeat of the same margin. If both defeats are the same score, second place will be decided first by Fair Play and then drawing of lots.
- Fair Play is currently Japan -3, Senegal -5, so the Asian side has the edge at the moment.
- Poland have been eliminated
Quarterfinals: July 6-7
Match 57: Uruguay or Portugal vs. France or Argentina (Nizhny Novgorod; 10 a.m. ET / 2 p.m. GMT)
Match 58: Brazil or Mexico vs. Winner of Match 54 (Kazan; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
Match 59: Sweden or Switzerland vs. Winner of Match 56 (Samara; 10 a.m. ET / 2 p.m. GMT)
Match 60: Spain or Russia vs. Croatia or Denmark (Sochi; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
Semifinals: July 10-11
Match 61: Winner of Match 57 vs. Winner of Match 58 (St. Petersburg; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
Match 62: Winner of Match 59 vs. Winner of Match 60 (Moscow Luzhniki; 2 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. GMT)
Third-place game: July 14
Loser of Match 61 vs. Loser of Match 62 (St. Petersburg; 10 a.m. ET / 2 p.m. GMT)
Final: July 15
Winner of Match 61 vs. Winner of Match 62 (Moscow Luzhniki; 11 a.m. ET / 3 p.m. GMT)
Dale Johnson has been an editor and journalist at ESPN for 18 years. You can follow him on Twitter @dalejohnsonESPN.