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Why Mourinho's FA charge is absurd

Marcotti's Musings
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Prem Forecaster: Arsenal title faves, LFC face must-win vs. Man United

With the Premier League campaign two games past the halfway point, the time has come for the unveiling of the season's first Soccer Power Index projections, which forecast the likelihood of each team's finish in the league's major races.

Using a regression-based algorithm, the Soccer Power Index (SPI) calculates an offensive and defensive rating for each club, and then uses those ratings to simulate the remainder of the season 10,000 times (click here for a primer). That results in the projections seen below.

Here's a look at the latest forecast for all 20 Prem teams, along with breakdowns of the title, Champions League and relegation battles. Plus, we preview what promises to be one of the most important matches of the season: Liverpool versus Manchester United on Sunday.

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