Eliaquim Mangala is convinced he will eventually shine at Manchester City despite struggling to settle in his first season in England.
France international Mangala, 23, joined City from Porto in a deal reported to be worth around 32 million pounds in the summer.
However, with competition from Martin Demichelis for the place alongside captain Vincent Kompany at the heart of the City defence, Mangala has struggled to establish himself as first-choice under boss Manuel Pellegrini.
Welcome to the second edition of Insider's Premier League Forecaster, an end-of-season table projection fueled by ESPN's Soccer Power Index (SPI), a regression-based algorithm designed to predict soccer matches. SPI simulates the remainder of the season 10,000 times, using the odds of each projected match, with the end result presented in the table below.
If you missed the inaugural version two weeks ago, click here for a primer and the previous table. (Note: The previous table forecast was incorrect due to a projection error. Chelsea, not Manchester City, should have been the projected favorite to win the league leading up to matches Jan. 10.)
With a lull in Premier League action last week due to FA Cup and Capital One Cup matches, in this edition we break down table risers and fallers over the past few weeks and preview what promises to be one of the most important matches of the season: Chelsea versus Manchester City on Saturday.
Here's a look at the latest forecast for all 20 Prem teams, along with breakdowns of the title, Champions League and relegation battles.
The pair had to be withdrawn during Chelsea's 1-0 victory in the Capital One Cup semifinal second leg against Liverpool on Tuesday, while Branislav Ivanovic, who scored the decisive goal, may also be a doubt after suffering a cut foot.
'Branislav could finish the game, Fabregas and Filipe couldn't," Mourinho said after the game. "Filipe was a calf problem, Fabregas was his hamstring."