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Bologna, Juve win; Napoli miss out

Serie A
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ESPN FC  By ESPN staff

UCL history on Juventus' side ahead of round of 16 second leg vs. Porto

Watch the match highlights for Serie A TIM 2016-17 match played between Juventus vs AC Milan
Catch all the goals scored in Serie A TIM 2016-17 match played between Juventus vs AC Milan

It would take a very rare circumstance for Juventus to fail to advance past Porto and into the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday.

According to ESPN Stats & Information, only two teams in Champions League history have won a knockout stage after losing the first leg at home.

Juventus won 2-0 in Portugal in the first leg of the round-of-16 tie on Feb. 22 and return home with the two-goal aggregate lead as they try to reach their 10th Champions League quarterfinal.

Ajax, who defeated Panathinaikos in the semifinals in 1995-96, and Inter Milan, who advanced past Bayern Munich in the round of 16 in 2010-11, were the only clubs to advance despite losing the first leg at their own grounds.

Thus, Juventus are considered a 99 percent favorite to advance, according to FiveThirtyEight's Soccer Power Index (SPI). Juve have not reached the quarterfinals since 2015, when they lost 3-1 to Barcelona in the final.

One man who could help them advance on Tuesday: Gonzalo Higuain, who has scored 14 goals in his last 18 games in all competitions -- including three in the Champions League.

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