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Transfer Rater: Mertens to Man United

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Transfer Rater: Cavani to Real Madrid

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Transfer Rater: Oblak to Juventus

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 By David Amoyal

Rumours rated: PSG set to add Fabinho, landing Mbappe unlikely

Gab Marcotti discusses the reports linking Kylian Mbappe to PSG and whether the club can afford him after landing Neymar.

With attention focusing on the summer transfer window, David Amoyal predicts how likely it is that these rumoured moves actually happen.

PSG signing Fabinho: 65 percent; Kylian Mbappe: 25 percent

After the stunning Neymar signing, Paris Saint-Germain continue to look for ways to create a Ligue 1 version of the galacticos. But landing Kylian Mbappe this summer is quite unlikely since Monaco are determined to keep him one more season, and because another transfer fee of over €100 million would further put them close to the line with financial fair play -- the deal will however likely be postponed to 2018. Fabinho, on the other hand, is on his way out at Monaco and he's expected to replace Blaise Matuidi on Unai Emery's squad before the window closes.

Jack Wilshere to Juventus: 10 percent

While the current Serie A champions weren't able to land Corentin Tolisso and appear to be unable to convince Liverpool to sell Emre Can, they have more appealing alternatives than the Arsenal midfielder. Juventus' top targets are PSG's Matuidi and Barcelona's Andre Gomes, and while odds are they will be able to sign one of them, Wilshere could still end up in Italy at Sampdoria or next year at Juventus, but only after his contract with the Gunners expires.

Lorenzo Insigne to Liverpool: 10 percent

While the winger would be an ideal replacement for Philippe Coutinho, the odds that he'll leave his hometown team before the window closes are very slim regardless of the outcome of Napoli's showdown with Nice in the Champions League playoff round. Insigne signed a contract extension -- bringing his salary in line with many top players in Italy -- just last April and he's determined to try to bring Maurizio Sarri's team their first Scudetto since Diego Maradona played at the San Paolo.

Eliaquim Mangala to Inter: 40 percent

After spending last season on loan at Valencia, the France international could be heading to Italy next. Inter are expected to lose both Jeison Murillo and Andrea Ranocchia before the window closes, which would leave them with just Miranda and newly acquired Milan Skriniar at the centre-back -- adding depth in defence is their top priority at the moment. Considering that Manchester City invested €40 million in Mangala back in 2014, to avoid taking a substantial loss on him a loan with option to buy deal may be a feasible solution for all involved.

Eliaquim Mangala would give Inter needed depth at centre-back.

Joao Cancelo to Chelsea: 15 percent

The home loss to Burnley underlined the Blues' need to strengthen Antonio Conte's squad. The Premier League champions have been in talks with Valencia for the right-back, according to reports in Spain, but they face competition from Inter, who are discussing a potential swap of loan deals also involving Geoffrey Kondogbia. As an alternative to Cancelo, Chelsea could sign PSG's Serge Aurier or make a final attempt for Antonio Candreva, now that Inter are set to extend Ivan Perisic's contract.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to Milan: 25 percent

The Borussia Dortmund striker has dropped numerous hints on social media regarding his desire to return to Milan, where he played at youth level. But at the moment, the deal isn't very likely since the German club could also lose Ousmane Dembele to Barcelona. In addition the cost of the move would be very substantial -- on top of a transfer fee of at least €60m, Aubameyang has asked for an annual salary of over €10m. Milan are expected to close the deal for Fiorentina striker Nikola Kalinic later this week, but may still monitor Aubameyang's situation to see if a last minute solution can be found.

Patrik Schick to Borussia Dortmund: 15 percent

After resolving the health issues that caused him to fail a medical for Juventus back in June, the  striker is once again on the German club's radar as a potential replacement for one of their outgoing attackers. But Schick appears to be determined to stay in Serie A, and recently Inter's management met with his agent as well as Sampdoria, a club they have a very strong relationship with. While defence is the main priority for Inter, they are the clear favorites to sign Schick.

William Carvalho to West Ham: 40 percent

Previously linked to several high-profile English and Spanish clubs, the Euro 2016 winner is reportedly close to joining West Ham. While his contract with Sporting Portugal ends in 2020 and he has a £40m release clause, the Hammers have proven they can be efficient on the transfer market after acquiring Javier Hernandez and Marko Arnautovic. Slaven Bilic could use an extra midfielder to bring more depth to his squad, but there is some frustration over how long it is taking to get the deal over the line. 

Alex Sandro to Chelsea: 20 percent

Despite Juventus' previous resistance, Conte hasn't given up on signing the talented left-back. Chelsea continue to stay in touch with Alex Sandro's camp in the hope that he pushes for a move away from Turin, but so far they haven't been able to convince him to hand in a transfer request. Juve are determined to keep him regardless of the offer in light of their defensive struggles without Leonardo Bonucci and Dani Alves.

Arkadiusz Milik to Marseille: 10 percent

The French club's manager, Rudi Garcia, has repeatedly stated that he's still looking for a striker despite Valere Germain's arrival, and he also hasn't been shy with publicly praising Milik. But Napoli have no intention to sell, in whom they invested over €30m in last summer to replace Gonzalo Higuain, despite the fact that Dries Mertens flourished playing as the false nine once Milik suffered a serious injury. Next summer, Mertens could be sold once an exit clause comes into effect, and Napoli would have an ideal replacement already comfortable in Maurizio Sarri's system in the squad.

David covers transfer news for ESPN FC and works for Gianluca Di Marzio's website. Twitter: @DavidAmoyal.

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