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ESPN FC  By ESPN staff

Lionel Messi can close on Cristiano Ronaldo this weekend: projection

Current goals total in La Liga: Ronaldo 14-6 Messi

Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo were both in scoring form during midweek action and each man will look to find the net again this weekend.

Messi will be in action first when Barcelona visit city rivals Espanyol on Saturday. The following day, Ronaldo and Real Madrid are at Valencia.

According to ESPN's projection model, Messi is more likely -- just -- to find the net than his great rival.

(Please note that the numbers for each player are based on him starting the game.)

Messi Ronaldo weekend 20160101
Last season, Messi scored once at Espanyol and Ronaldo scored once at Valencia.

2015-16 total goals projection

Ronaldo, who now leads his great rival by eight goals, remains the overwhelming favourite to win the head-to-head battle over the course of the season.

Messi Ronaldo season 20160101
Between them, Ronaldo and Messi have won the past six Pichichi awards, given to the leading scorer in La Liga.

What do you think?

We want your input! Vote and let us know who you think will score the most goals this season, using the hashtag #ESPNFCMessiRonaldo.

2015-16 milestone projection

By missing two months of the season through injury, Messi's chances to hit various goal landmarks have decreased. He is still predicted to end the season with an impressive haul, but Ronaldo is tipped for higher numbers.

Messi Ronaldo milestones 20160101
Messi has 292 career goals in La Liga. Ronaldo has 239.

How does the projection model work?

Here's a brief explanation from its creator, ESPN Stats & Information analytics specialist Zach Bradshaw:

"These projections account for the historical performance [goals scored and minutes played] of the two players since 2010, strength of opposing defences faced [measured by SPI defensive rating], game location and the potential for injury or missing games. Based on these inputs, the predictor will estimate the chance of each player scoring any number of goals for each remaining game. From this, we can project the total number of goals scored, hat tricks and the chance of each player accruing more goals than the other over the course of the entire Liga season."


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