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Real Madrid look to advance, maintain unbeaten UCL run vs. Atletico Madrid

Karim Benzema tries to maintain possession between Lucas Hernandez and Stefan Savic in the first leg.

Real Madrid will try to reach the final of the UEFA Champions League for the third time in the past four years while Atletico Madrid hope to overcome a three-goal deficit against their local rivals in the second leg of the semifinals on Wednesday.

Should Real Madrid claim the aggregate victory, they will become the first defending champion to return to the final since Manchester United in 2009. Not since AC Milan won what was known as the European Cup in 1989 and 1990 has a club been able to repeat as champions.

FiveThirtyEight's Soccer Power Index (SPI) gives Real Madrid a 97 percent chance of advancing to face Juventus in the final in Cardiff, Wales on June 3.

This is the fourth consecutive season in which the two sides are meeting in the knockout stages, with Real Madrid winning on each of the previous three occasions -- including in the final last year and in 2014.

They also met in the semifinals of the 1958-59 competition, with Real Madrid advancing to the final after three legs and winning the title.

Atletico Madrid are yet to defeat Real Madrid in the knockout stage of the Champions League.

Atletico Madrid have won 17 of their 22 Champions League home games with Diego Simeone as their coach and are unbeaten in the knockout stages, but they would need to win and score at least three goals to advance to the final -- something they have done only once with Simeone in 10 knockout games at the Calderon.

They are also the lowest-scoring team remaining among the four semifinalists, having scored only 13 goals in 11 games, and managed only one shot on target in the first leg of the semifinals.

Real Madrid have a 42 percent chance of winning the second leg, according to FiveThirtyEight's Soccer Power Index (SPI).

Real Madrid, meanwhile, have not yet lost a game in the Champions League this season and have scored at least two goals in each game.

In the first leg, all three were the work of Cristiano Ronaldo, who has scored eight of Real Madrid's past nine Champions League goals. Ronaldo, who has 103 career goals in the competition, has scored at least 10 goals in the Champions League in each of the past six seasons and shares the record with seven hat tricks in the competition.

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