Five Aside: Match Day Six
Mexico was able to hold off Brazil's unrelenting offense for a surprising 0-0 draw. According to the pre-match projection from Soccer Power Index, there was only a 4.8 percent chance (about 1 in 21) that the hosts would be held scoreless against El Tri.
Here are five notes from the early action on match day six.
- There was an 11 percent chance of any kind of draw and Brazil was a heavy 85.5 percent favorite to win the match. Entering the match, Mexico had a 59 percent chance of advancing out of Group play. After tying Brazil, it is now 80 percent. Croatia went from 38 percent chance of advancing to 19 percent.
- Mexico goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa is the reason El Tri earned its most unlikely of points in this tournament. Ochoa had six saves in the game, the most by a Mexican keeper in a World Cup game since Antonio Carbajal against Uruguay in 1966. Ochoa is tied with Algerian keeper Rais M'Bolhi for the most saves so far in this year's tournament.
- With the draw, Mexico becomes the first team from outside Europe and South America to earn a point against Brazil at the World Cup. Brazil had been 17-0-0 against non-UEFA/CONMEBOL teams, outscoring them 50-5.
- Despite what was a disappointing result for the Brazilians, the Seleção remain undefeated in 59 straight competitive home games (non-friendlies) since 1975, last losing 3-1 to Peru in the first leg of the 1975 Copa América semifinals. Prior to Tuesday's match, Brazil's last two scoreless draws at the World Cup were the 2010 Group Stage against Portugal and in the 1994 final against Italy.
- In the first match of the day, Belgium came from behind to beat Algeria 2-1 in each team's opener, becoming the sixth team at this World Cup to win after conceding the first goal. That happened three times in the entire 2010 tournament.
Algeria's goal was its first in World Cup play since June 3, 1986, ending a drought of five-plus games and 505 scoreless minutes. 72 unsuccessful shots had been taken since Algeria's last World Cup goal. Algeria remains winless in seven straight World Cup games, with its last victory coming in the 1982 tournament.