Betting Blog: Champions League and Super Cup
This week sees the third qualifying round for the Champions League and there are some big names who might struggle to make it any further, which would be a hammer blow not least considering many of them have not even begun their domestic seasons yet.
Celtic are among those in serious danger of not progressing beyond this stage, trailing Legia Warsaw 4-1 going into the second leg in Glasgow. But this could present us with a decent bet, since the Scots can obviously win on the night -- which they must if they want to stand a chance -- but still not get through.
The first leg was a bit of a farce in the end as Celtic took the lead but once they went down to 10 men they were torn apart. At home, they should be an altogether different proposition and a quick start will have them believing they can get the 3-0 win they need. Bet365 go 21/20 that Celtic lead at half-time and go on to win and that looks well worth taking.
This time last year, Partizan Belgrade went out of the Champions League at the same qualifying stage to the same opponents they face this week, PFC Ludogorets Razgrad, so that should ensure they have plenty of desire and motivation to turn the tables this time round.
By all accounts, they did well to hang on for a 0-0 draw in the first leg but home advantage is massive and for a club like Partizan, who pride themselves on their home support and home record, they could be over-priced at 13/10 to get the win.
Likewise, FC Copenhagen could be too strong at home for Dnipro, at 8/5, but the real value of the midweek games could be HJK Helsinki to win at Apoel FC. The Greeks came from two goals down to draw in Finland last week but only after the Finns had a man sent off.
Until then, Helsinki were cruising at 2-0 and if they can keep 11 men on the pitch perhaps they can pinch an away win, confirming their overall superiority at a massive-looking 13/2 with Bet365.
The other big match of the week is the Super Cup between Real Madrid and Sevilla and Bet365 are clearly expecting goals as they make it 19/40 that there are three or more in the match.
Both teams have plenty of goals in them of course but so early in the summer, it might be worth going the other way, taking the 8/5 on there being no more than two.